On SMS traffic and revenue (early 2012)

Today I read the following (Strand Consults):

“Facebook is killing the mobile operators’ SMS traffic and revenue… The golden days where SMS traffic and revenue simply continued to grow are almost over, as customers are now moving part of their mobile communication traffic over to Facebook.”

But I would say it differently:

Facebook *Data* is killing the mobile operators’ SMS traffic and revenue”.

Yes, Facebook is definitely helping kill SMS revenue, but *data* is what is really killing SMS usage and revenue — data is what enables Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and the many other content and messaging apps and tools.

Network Operators have known that this day would come, and, operators are making tons of money with data today.

I’ve been seeing something interesting among the Net-generation (teenagers, young adults) — they are preferring Twitter over Facebook when it comes to messaging. Let’s not under estimate the power of “short and straight to the point” messaging. What this tells me is that Facebook will peak, and others will take its place w.r.t. messaging.

Data taking over SMS was a matter of time. The “death” of SMS, time-wise, is actually happening as expected:

ceo

On Ambient and (Mobile) Context

Recently I have been seeing the word “ambient” used a lot to describe “context”; a good example is Alohar Mobile and its Mobile Ambient Analytics Platform. Alohar Mobile are also the makers of Placeme.

Is Ambient the new Context?

It is not. Context is more than just ambient information; ambient information is a subset of Context:

  • ambient: “of the surrounding area or environment”
  • context: “the set of circumstances or facts that surround a particular event, situation, etc.”

The following illustrates the elements of the mobile context:

The Mobile Context, May 2012

(Above diagram is an update from original The Mobile Context)

Ambient information is about sensory information while context is much more complex. Context is about the (set of) information related to a given user-event-in-time. It is the intersection or overlap of the different sets/elements above, at any given point in time, as it relates to a given event (search, browse, gift, purchase) for a given user.

Those who are able to truly capture, analyze and understand Context, are the ones who will be able to bring true meaning to (and reap the benefit$ from) Mobile.

ceo

Android in Action, 3rd Edition (Ableson, Sen, King, Ortiz)

Android in Action, 3rd edition, which I co-authored together with Frank Ableson, Robi Sen and Chris King, is out!

You can order it online (see Amazon), or visit your favorite bookstore.

Order one, order two, order three copies!

Give a copy to your favorite developer — a great present for Christmas. She/he will thank you. ;-)

And if you are in Austin, I will even sign it for you!


Writing a book is a lot of work — takes a lot of time, effort and coordination.

This book turned out to be pretty massive and informative. It covers all you need to know about Android development, from the basics such as application components to the latest Android concepts and APIs such as Fragments, the new holographic Action Bar and Drag-and-Drop.

I hope you find this book useful…

CEO

The Impact of Steve Jobs on Mobility

Thanks Steve
Thanks, Steve — Created by Jonathan Mak.

Steve Jobs’ legacy spans a number of industries — the personal computer, computer graphics & visualization, the movie industry, the music industry, telecommunications and mobile devices, retail stores. The impact he made across technology sectors was like no other before him.

His legacy touched so many people, directly, because he put the user, the user experience and design first. His passion for beautiful was just beautiful and amazing.

Mobility technologists of today must thank Steve. To appreciate his impact on our sector, it is important to understand how things were before Steve Jobs and the iPhone. In short, literally, there was mobility before the iPhone and after the iPhone — both periods are completely different.

Before the days of the iPhone, the operator controlled every aspect of the mobile device — inside and outside. Those were the early days of data networks. While there were mobile platforms such as WinCE, PalmOS, Symbian, WAP and J2ME, that allowed for mobile applications, innovation moved at the speed of a turtle. The main factor that impacted innovation was the operator itself — FUD over the networks, and control over the handsets and what could be done on the handsets themselves (that is, the kind of connected applications). To go to market, it was the most painful process ever, and it was very expensive — creating an application was a barrier to entry all on itself, and then, the ‘operator deck’, which was the main way to gain visibility was terrible. There was no ecosystem. There were people with great ideas, but bringing those to market was just next to impossible. This resulted in non-sophisticated phones and simplistic applications. It meant poor user experience. It wasn’t pretty.

Not even the powerful Nokia could break through this.

Then came Steve Jobs and his team with the iPhone.

The only way to break away from the operator control was to reinvent the mobility sector, which first meant the operator cannot be in the center in control. Imagine that. That was unheard of. And to execute, you create your own hardware, software and complete go-to-market approaches. Now, that is thinking outside of the box.

And in the process, not only they raised the bar on hardware design, software design, the user experience! all beautiful, capable pieces, but it was much more than a phone. Yes it could play music and videos, but most importantly for developers, he redefined how applications are built, marketed and monetized. No more ‘operator deck’! No more operator control. He pushed for latest on web technologies. And the ability to create incredible native applications. The power transitioned from the operator and into the ecosystem and the developers themselves. Developers could write mobile web-apps, or native apps cheaply and market them via an app store and take a huge cut from the sales of their apps, or, developers could give the app away for free and make money in other ways. Developers were no longer at the mercy or FUD from the operators. Finally, after ~9 years!

That was the legacy, the impact of Jobs on mobility — he redefined the mobile industry as a whole, top to bottom and left to right — the hardware design, and the software within, the software ecosystem, the user experience, the monetization aspects. He knew that software was the key to success and that the developers were the messengers, the ones who would make it happen.

The rest is history — now everyone gets it, and everyone follows.

Without Steve Jobs’ vision and his cojones (no one before him dared to challenge the operator) and of course his incredible team, we would still be using crappy handsets, and boring software/apps.

The mobility industry is really defined as Before-iPhone (BiP) and After-iPhone (AiP).

Steve inspired me and many in my generation of mobile technologists. I never got the honor to meet Steve Jobs, but I always wanted to tell him, “Thank you, Steve!”

ceo

P.S. I look back at my out of the blue interview with Apple in ~2004-2005 when they were looking for mobile folks. I have never written about this before, but that is how I learned back then that Apple was getting into mobile. I had my own business back then, so timing-wise wasn’t good for me, but if I had joined, it would have been something special.

App Developers Conference and Hackathon 2011

The App Developers Conference and Hackathon is taking place Oct 26-27, 2011 in Santa Clara, CA. ADC addresses key components of App development, marketing and revenue on mobile devices and tablets.

Walmart and Pandora will deliver the keynotes. Additionally we have more than 50 speakers, including leading developers participating. Speakers include: Bump, Netflix, Smule, Flurry, Pulse, Chomp, Yelp, OpenFeint, Churn Labs, Nissan, Barnes & Noble, Nielson, BMW, Microsoft Win Phone 7, Samsung, AT&T, Qualcomm, Intel Capital and dozens of others.

Conference tracks include: Platform Wars, Programming and Design and Marketing and Revenue. Additionally, we are hosting the Kidscreen iKids Summit, where the biggest brand-owning companies in the kids entertainment will talk about their 2012 app strategies and partnership needs. ** Great partnership opportunities **

The AppDev Hackathon and Bootcamp taking place October 27, 2011 is free to participate and features hands on training classes on the latest technologies and trends that can help you build better apps. New and experienced developers will learn new skills, build mobile apps, compete for prizes, meet people and find teammates for new or current projects.

Take advantage of $100 discount off the conference price – just use coupon code ENRIQUE – this is on top of the Earlybird discount which expires this September 21st – a $300 savings off the regular full rate.

Follow this link now to register (and don’t forget the coupon code):
http://appdevconf.engagedigital.com/register/

Register for the Hackathon here: http://appdevhackathon.com/

For more information contact Chris Sherman, the conference organizer at chris@engagedigital.com.

ceo

Evernote in Austin

I just blogged at the Austin Startup blog, about Evernote in Austin; the popular Evernote is opening a development Studio in Austin.

The company is growing fast — they started the year with 45 people and are looking to grow to 130 by the year end. And they have about 11 million users, and growing.

A few weeks ago, I met with Rich Warwick, Evernote’s new vice president and general manager for Austin products, where I learned that Evernote was going to open a development lab in Austin, and that they will be aggressively looking for Mobility and Mac developers here in town. I, being a mobility person, am pretty excited about the news: 1) I am a fan of Evernote, 2) they are opening a dev studio in Austin, and 3) a core focus of the Austin lab is Mobility!

On August 31st, they will run an Evernote Meetup at the W. If you are a mobile app developer and curious about joining the Evernote team, you should attend the meetup and also see their current job postings in the new Austin Studio.

Related:

ceo

HP TouchPad soon to be running Google Android

A week ago or so, HP announced that it was pulling the plug on their webOS devices, including their TouchPad.

A few days ago, TouchPads go on fire sale for $99. And guess what? They are selling like hot cakes.

Now HP TouchPad will soon to be running Google Android via Touch Droid.

Ironic. There is a chance that HP TouchPads get popularity via Android. Or in other words, HP could have played all this much better and saved $1.2B, and still be in the tablet race.

Oh well…

ceo